Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 30 Oct at 07:00 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

A. Bublik vs A. De Minaur

Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik

Flag KAZ KAZ

l
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur

Flag AUS AUS

w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
w
l

2

Win

5

Played

3

Win

28
Age
26
6'5" (196 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
11
C. Rank
7
11
Best Rank
6
8
Total Titles
10
4
YTD Titles
1
$6.6M
Career Money
$13.8M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Bublik 2 - 3 Minaur

They have played 13 sets in total, with Alexander Bublik winning 5 and Alex De Minaur winning 8. The last match between Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 31-10-2025, Round: QF, Surface: I.hard, with Alexander Bublik getting the victory 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Bublik2
Minaur3
Last 5 H2H Matches:

(QFRolex Paris Masters - Paris(10-31-25)

I.hard
KAZ Flag
Alexander Bublik
6
6
7
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
7
4
5

(R2French Open - Paris(05-29-25)

Clay
KAZ Flag
Alexander Bublik
2
2
6
6
6
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
6
6
4
3
2

(R3BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-10-24)

Hard
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
7
6
KAZ Flag
Alexander Bublik
5
0

A. Bublik vs A. D. Minaur H2H Profile

Stats
$6,573,530Career Prize Money$13,814,330
57.99% (399-289)Career Total W/L64.47% (421-232)
1Clay1
0Hard2
1Indoor0
19Titles12
2Total H2H Matches3
62.71% (37-22)YTD Win/Loss70.00% (56-24)
4YTD Titles1

A. Bublik vs A. D. Minaur Match Preview:

  • In recent second serve performance, Alexander Bublik edges Alex De Minaur with 46.14% of points won compared to De Minaur's 45.91%. Could this serve a crucial role in predicting the match outcome? The slight edge could indeed be vital.
  • Alexander Bublik demonstrates stronger return game stats, winning 47.51% of opponents' second serve points, while Alex De Minaur secures 42.69%.
  • On first-serve returns, Alex De Minaur leads with 24.08%, surpassing Bublik's 18.08%.
  • Both players display a similar breakpoint saving rate, with Alexander Bublik at 55.87% and Alex De Minaur at 55.99%.
  • For overall performance, Bublik has a match win percentage of 68.12% in the past year, closely trailing behind De Minaur's 68.29%.
  • Bublik excels on indoor hard surfaces with a 63% win rate, while De Minaur is strongest on grass, boasting the same win percentage.
  • Comparatively, Bublik has faced players with an average rank of 88.86, while De Minaur's opposition has averaged a rank of 58.48 over the past year.
  • If this contest reaches a deciding set, Bublik has a higher success rate, winning 60% of recent deciding sets compared to De Minaur's 47%.
  • Historically, Bublik has won 1 of their 4 direct encounters; De Minaur has claimed 2 victories, and they've split a total of 10 sets with De Minaur leading 7-3.
  • Bublik secured their last match victory against De Minaur in the 2025 French Open, effectively turning the match around after losing the first two sets.

Editorial Prediction (October 30, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur promises to be an intriguing clash of style and skill. Bublik's edge on second serves and overall return game may prove decisive in setting the pace and gaining important points. This advantage could grant him greater control over rallies and dictate the momentum.

De Minaur's proficiency in handling first serves offers him a potential upper hand in stifling Bublik's service game. Additionally, considering that De Minaur has faced higher-ranked opponents in the past year, he is well-acquainted with handling challenging matches.

Yet when the stakes rise, Bublik’s superior performance in deciding sets tips the scales. Given the current statistics and considering his recent victory in their latest encounter, Alexander Bublik seems poised to claim victory in this match.

Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Bublik vs A. D. Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won2
5Sets Won8
54Games Won65
40Aces (Total)21
34Total Double Faults21
1:39:4Average Match Time1:39:4
60% (232/386)1st Serve %54% (209/385)
75% (175/232)1st Serve Win %72% (150/209)
34% (52/154)2nd Serve Win %55% (97/176)
35% (12/34)Break Pts Won %40% (17/43)
36% (138/385)Return Points Win %41% (159/386)
33% (1/3)Best‑of‑3 Win %67% (2/3)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑5 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (2/2)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/2)
0% (0/0)1st Set Won, Won Match60% (3/5)
0% (0/0)1st Set Won, Lost Match40% (2/5)
40% (2/5)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/0)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Bublik 48%, Minaur 57%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Bublik 49%, Minaur 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Bublik 67%, Minaur 63%.

A. Bublik Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardMoselle Open - Metz - 03-11-2025

R2

UKRV. Sachko
L
7-5 3-6 7-5
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

SF

CANF. Auger
L
7-6(3) 6-4

QF

AUSA. De
W
6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

R3

USAT. Fritz
W
7-6(5) 6-2

R2

FRAC. Moutet
W
6-3 7-5

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

SF

ITAJ. Sinner
L
7-5 6-2

Robin

USAT. Fritz
W
7-6(3) 6-3

Robin

ITAL. Musetti
L
7-5 3-6 7-5

Robin

ESPC. Alcaraz
L
7-6(5) 6-2
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

QF

KAZA. Bublik
L
6-7(5) 6-4 7-5
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A. Bublik vs A. D. Minaur Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
57.99% (399/289)YTD Win/Loss64.47% (421/232)
54.99% (920/753)Sets Win/Loss60.93% (1001/642)
51.10% (8347/7988)Games Win/Loss53.91% (8383/7167)
55.56% (145/116)Hard Win/Loss67.45% (201/97)
54.79% (80/66)Clay Win/Loss57.25% (75/56)
61.76% (126/78)Indoor Hard W/L62.76% (91/54)
62.34% (48/29)Grass Win/Loss68.35% (54/25)
0.84Aces Per Game0.3
6719Aces Total2269
0.48Double Faults Per Game0.21
3850Total Double Faults1616
1:26:1Average Match Time1:45:12
387.81Average Opponent Rank127.16
59% (28399/48065)1st Serve %58% (27310/46777)
76% (21547/28393)1st Serve Win %71% (19283/27327)
45% (8948/19666)2nd Serve Win %54% (10459/19482)
41% (1637/4009)Break Points Won % (Total)43% (2046/4781)
37% (17372/47192)Return Points Win %40% (19470/48360)
50.70% (36/35)Slam W/L64.58% (62/34)
44.05% (37/47)Masters W/L55.20% (69/56)
57.89% (11/8)Cups W/L61.54% (24/15)
56.52% (143/110)Main Tour W/L67.52% (158/76)
0% (0/0)Tour Finals W/L14.29% (1/6)
64.60% (104/57)Challenger W/L66.67% (52/26)
69.39% (68/30)Futures W/L74.32% (55/19)
59% (363/616)Best of 3 Sets Win %64% (343/537)
48% (29/61)Best of 5 Sets Win %66% (72/109)
54% (144/269)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)56% (132/234)
61% (135/220)Deciding Set Win %58% (108/187)
86% (361/312)1st Set Won, Won Match88% (401/352)
14% (361/49)1st Set Won, Lost Match12% (401/49)
26% (327/85)1st Set Lost, Won Match27% (252/69)

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